Birmingham vs Stoke
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
50.1%
Birmingham to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins |
50.08%
±14.47%
|
1.86 | -7.1% |
| Draw |
27.3%
±3.88%
|
3.60 | -1.7% |
| Stoke wins |
22.62%
±10.87%
|
4.00 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Birmingham
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Birmingham
Stoke
Shots
15.0
9.7
Shots On Target
3.8
3.1
Corners
6.1
5.8
Fouls
11.9
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Birmingham
Stoke
Shots
8.2
10.9
Shots On Target
2.5
3.3
Corners
4.2
6.3
Fouls
11.4
9.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Birmingham Wins
3Draws
4Stoke Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Stoke Win | 1:0 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Birmingham Win | 1:2 |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Stoke Win | 1:3 |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Nov 2022 | Birmingham Win | 1:2 |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 0:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Coventry | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Watford | 3:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | QPR | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 0:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Hull | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | L |