English League One 27 Jan 2026 14:45 Match Finished

Bolton vs Burton

Final Result

2:1

Bolton to win

Rating Change

Bolton -2.7
Burton +0.8
Our Prediction Correct
66.1% Bolton to win

±12.3%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Bolton wins
66.07% ±12.32%
1.46 -3.9%
Draw
21.62% ±5.21%
4.20 -9.2%
Burton wins
12.31% ±7.23%
6.38 -21.5%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Bolton
Burton

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Bolton
Burton
Shots 16.7 10.6
Shots On Target 4.0 3.6
Corners 6.7 4.5
Fouls 8.8 9.8
Yellow Cards 1.1 1.1
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Bolton
Burton
Shots 17.5 11.5
Shots On Target 5.4 4.0
Corners 7.9 5.0
Fouls 9.0 12.6
Yellow Cards 1.6 2.3
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Bolton Wins

4

Draws

4

Burton Wins

2
Date Result Score
11 Oct 2025 Burton Win 3:0
8 Mar 2025 Bolton Win 1:2
19 Oct 2024 Bolton Win 2:1
1 Jan 2024 Bolton Win 1:0
26 Aug 2023 Draw 1:1

Bolton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Leyton Orient 2:1 W
20 Jan 2026 Stevenage 0:0 D
17 Jan 2026 Wigan 0:1 W
10 Jan 2026 Peterboro 3:1 L
4 Jan 2026 Northampton 0:0 D

Burton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Jan 2026 Lincoln 2:1 L
17 Jan 2026 Huddersfield 3:1 W
4 Jan 2026 Plymouth 3:0 L
1 Jan 2026 Reading 2:0 L
29 Dec 2025 Wigan 0:2 L