English League One 4 Jan 2026 07:00 Match Finished

Bolton vs Northampton

Our Prediction Missed
68.6% Bolton to win

±11.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Bolton wins
68.59% ±11.86%
1.38 -5.3%
Draw
20.85% ±5.47%
4.65 -3.1%
Northampton wins
10.56% ±6.49%
7.38 -22.1%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Bolton
Northampton

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Bolton
Northampton
Shots 17.9 10.6
Shots On Target 4.5 3.5
Corners 6.5 5.7
Fouls 8.4 10.7
Yellow Cards 1.4 1.6
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Bolton
Northampton
Shots 14.0 10.4
Shots On Target 5.8 4.2
Corners 6.4 3.4
Fouls 11.6 11.6
Yellow Cards 1.8 1.8
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Bolton Wins

3

Draws

1

Northampton Wins

1
Date Result Score
27 Sep 2025 Northampton Win 2:0
28 Jan 2025 Bolton Win 3:1
1 Oct 2024 Bolton Win 2:4
10 Feb 2024 Draw 1:1
21 Oct 2023 Bolton Win 2:1

Bolton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Jan 2026 Doncaster 1:1 D
29 Dec 2025 Mansfield 0:1 L
26 Dec 2025 Rotherham 2:1 W
20 Dec 2025 Wycombe 2:1 L
13 Dec 2025 Exeter 2:1 W

Northampton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Jan 2026 Stockport 0:0 D
29 Dec 2025 Huddersfield 2:0 L
26 Dec 2025 Burton 5:1 L
19 Dec 2025 AFC Wimbledon 3:1 W
13 Dec 2025 Peterboro 2:1 L