Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins Top Bet |
43.09%
±14.76%
|
2.67 | +15.0% |
| Draw |
26.8%
±2.51%
|
3.36 | -9.9% |
| Stoke wins |
30.11%
±12.73%
|
2.50 | -24.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bolton
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bolton
Stoke
Shots
13.9
12.4
Shots On Target
5.3
3.8
Corners
5.3
5.7
Fouls
11.6
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Bolton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Norwich | 3:4 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Cardiff | 1:0 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | West Ham | 2:3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Millwall | 4:0 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United | 3:2 | L |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United | 2:1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Watford | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Cardiff | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Charlton | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |