Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins |
43.54%
±14.38%
|
2.00 | -12.9% |
| Draw |
30.26%
±3.22%
|
3.60 | +8.9% |
| Brighton wins |
26.19%
±11.58%
|
3.55 | -7.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brentford
Brighton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brentford
Brighton
Shots
11.2
11.8
Shots On Target
4.4
3.7
Corners
4.6
4.6
Fouls
11.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brentford
Brighton
Shots
9.3
18.3
Shots On Target
3.8
6.3
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.0
7.7
Fouls
9.6
11.1
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brentford Wins
2Draws
3Brighton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Brentford Win | 4:2 |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
Brentford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:3 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 2:0 | L |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |