Brighton vs Aston Villa
Final Result
3:4
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
38%
Brighton to win
±14%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
37.98%
±14.03%
|
2.15 | -18.4% |
| Draw |
31.51%
±2.35%
|
3.45 | +8.7% |
| Aston Villa wins |
30.51%
±12.34%
|
3.35 | +2.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Aston Villa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Aston Villa
Shots
12.9
11.6
Shots On Target
4.6
3.9
Corners
5.6
4.7
Fouls
10.9
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Aston Villa
Shots
11.6
10.6
Shots On Target
4.0
4.0
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.7
4.5
Fouls
15.8
11.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
3.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
2Draws
2Aston Villa Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 5 May 2024 | Brighton Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 6:1 |
| 28 May 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Leeds | 3:0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Man United | 4:2 | L |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Leeds | 1:2 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Man City | 1:0 | W |