Brighton vs Bournemouth
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
42.9%
Brighton to win
±15%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
42.85%
±15%
|
1.86 | -20.3% |
| Draw |
29.01%
±2.94%
|
3.90 | +13.2% |
| Bournemouth wins |
28.13%
±12.54%
|
3.75 | +5.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Bournemouth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Bournemouth
Shots
14.4
15.7
Shots On Target
4.3
5.5
Corners
4.2
5.5
Fouls
12.2
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Bournemouth
Shots
13.2
14.4
Shots On Target
4.4
4.1
Corners
3.9
5.6
Fouls
10.6
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
5Draws
0Bournemouth Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Brighton Win | 1:2 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Bournemouth Win | 3:0 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Brighton Win | 3:1 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 3:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 2:3 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 4:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |