Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
31.78%
±13.34%
|
2.62 | -16.9% |
| Draw |
32.26%
±1.69%
|
3.40 | +9.7% |
| Newcastle wins |
35.96%
±13.08%
|
2.63 | -5.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Newcastle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Newcastle
Shots
13.7
12.6
Shots On Target
5.2
4.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
4.8
6.6
Fouls
12.1
11.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Newcastle
Shots
11.9
11.2
Shots On Target
4.7
3.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.5
5.0
Fouls
13.1
10.9
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
4Draws
4Newcastle Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Brighton Win | 0:1 |
| 11 May 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Brighton Win | 3:1 |
| 18 May 2023 | Newcastle Win | 4:1 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Wolves | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Chelsea | 1:3 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 2:1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Man City | 2:1 | W |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 2:0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Arsenal | 1:2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Wolves | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Leeds | 0:0 | D |