Bristol City vs Derby
Final Result
0:5
Derby to win
Our Prediction
Missed
51.4%
Bristol City to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins |
51.44%
±14.51%
|
2.13 | +9.3% |
| Draw |
27.11%
±4.12%
|
3.30 | -10.5% |
| Derby wins |
21.46%
±10.65%
|
3.40 | -27.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bristol City
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bristol City
Derby
Shots
12.6
11.2
Shots On Target
5.3
3.8
Corners
5.3
5.4
Fouls
9.8
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bristol City
Derby
Shots
11.4
11.1
Shots On Target
3.6
3.4
Corners
4.8
4.8
Fouls
9.6
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bristol City Wins
5Draws
1Derby Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Bristol City Win | 1:0 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Derby Win | 3:0 |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Bristol City Win | 1:3 |
| 4 Dec 2021 | Bristol City Win | 1:0 |
Bristol City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Ipswich | 2:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Oxford | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 5:0 | W |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |