Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
11.58%
±7.03%
|
6.38 | -26.2% |
| Draw |
24.91%
±4.65%
|
4.45 | +10.8% |
| Chelsea wins |
63.51%
±11.5%
|
1.48 | -5.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Chelsea
Shots
7.6
13.9
Shots On Target
3.1
5.9
Corners
2.5
6.0
Fouls
10.1
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Chelsea
Shots
7.4
18.4
Shots On Target
2.1
7.4
Corners
3.7
7.0
Fouls
8.9
8.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
0Draws
2Chelsea Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Chelsea Win | 1:4 |
| 5 Mar 2022 | Chelsea Win | 0:4 |
| 6 Nov 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Chelsea Win | 2:0 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 0:2 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Wolves | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leeds | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sunderland | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Liverpool | 2:1 | W |