Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins |
48.12%
±14.94%
|
2.18 | +4.7% |
| Draw |
27%
±3.52%
|
3.05 | -17.6% |
| Lecce wins |
24.88%
±11.74%
|
3.73 | -7.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cagliari
Lecce
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cagliari
Lecce
Shots
10.2
11.3
Shots On Target
3.4
2.1
Corners
3.2
4.6
Fouls
14.1
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cagliari
Lecce
Shots
15.0
13.5
Shots On Target
4.3
4.3
Corners
6.3
6.0
Fouls
12.7
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cagliari Wins
2Draws
3Lecce Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | Cagliari Win | 1:2 |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Cagliari Win | 4:1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Lecce Win | 1:0 |
| 5 May 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 6 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Cagliari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | Roma | 2:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Verona | 4:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 1:0 | W |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 3:0 | L |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Udinese | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Torino | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 0:0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Milan | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Inter | 1:0 | L |