Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins |
34.68%
±14.14%
|
1.99 | -31.2% |
| Draw |
28.88%
±1.7%
|
3.21 | -7.4% |
| Lecce wins Top Bet |
36.44%
±13.61%
|
4.10 | +49.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cagliari
Lecce
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cagliari
Lecce
Shots
13.9
9.6
Shots On Target
3.9
3.6
Corners
5.1
3.4
Fouls
9.9
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cagliari
Lecce
Shots
14.4
13.4
Shots On Target
3.7
4.3
Corners
6.6
5.4
Fouls
13.1
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cagliari Wins
2Draws
3Lecce Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | Lecce Win | 0:2 |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Cagliari Win | 1:2 |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Cagliari Win | 4:1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Lecce Win | 1:0 |
| 5 May 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Cagliari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Inter | 0:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Parma | 0:1 | W |
| 24 May 2026 | Milan | 1:2 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Torino | 2:1 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Udinese | 0:2 | L |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Roma | 0:4 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Venezia | 0:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Venezia | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Genoa | 1:0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Sassuolo | 2:3 | W |