Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle wins |
21.71%
±11%
|
2.93 | -36.5% |
| Draw |
36.79%
±2.8%
|
3.45 | +26.9% |
| York wins |
41.49%
±13.14%
|
2.13 | -11.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Carlisle
York
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Carlisle
York
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Carlisle
York
Yellow Cards
5.0
4.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Carlisle Wins
0Draws
0York Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | York Win | 5:0 |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Wealdstone | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Morecambe | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Gateshead | 0:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Boreham Wood | 2:0 | L |
York - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Southend | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Sutton | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Altrincham | 1:2 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Boston Utd | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Truro | 4:0 | W |