Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia wins |
29.49%
±12.97%
|
3.20 | -5.6% |
| Draw |
30.91%
±1.73%
|
3.03 | -6.5% |
| Guimaraes wins |
39.59%
±13.45%
|
2.30 | -8.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Shots
8.6
13.2
Shots On Target
2.9
3.6
Corners
4.6
5.0
Fouls
14.7
14.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Shots
9.5
16.7
Shots On Target
2.8
3.8
Corners
3.8
7.7
Fouls
15.3
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
2Draws
3Guimaraes Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 0:2 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Alverca | 0:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Nov 2025 | AVS | 4:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Tondela | 0:1 | W |