Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia wins |
41.07%
±14.75%
|
1.65 | -32.2% |
| Draw |
28.94%
±2.55%
|
3.83 | +10.7% |
| Rio Ave wins Top Bet |
29.98%
±12.77%
|
4.80 | +43.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Shots
8.6
13.3
Shots On Target
2.7
4.5
Corners
4.3
5.8
Fouls
17.3
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Shots
9.8
10.5
Shots On Target
2.8
4.2
Corners
5.3
4.3
Fouls
19.7
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
2Draws
3Rio Ave Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Tondela | 0:1 | L |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Gil Vicente | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | L |
| 17 Apr 2026 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:2 | W |