Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Final Result
5:1
Chelsea to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50.5%
Chelsea to win
±14.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
50.48%
±14.45%
|
1.70 | -14.4% |
| Draw |
28.16%
±4.17%
|
4.16 | +17.1% |
| Bournemouth wins Top Bet |
21.36%
±10.54%
|
4.55 | -2.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Shots
12.4
13.8
Shots On Target
3.9
4.9
Corners
6.0
5.2
Fouls
10.7
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Shots
15.9
13.2
Shots On Target
5.3
4.8
Corners
7.1
4.7
Fouls
10.1
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
4Draws
5Bournemouth Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Chelsea Win | 0:1 |
| 19 May 2024 | Chelsea Win | 2:1 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Brentford | 3:0 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Hull | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brighton | 4:3 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fulham | 2:3 | W |
Bournemouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Liverpool | 0:1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Brentford | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Newcastle | 2:2 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Man City | 2:1 | L |