Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
77.19%
±9.24%
|
1.23 | -5.4% |
| Draw |
16.22%
±4.98%
|
6.75 | +9.5% |
| Burnley wins |
6.59%
±4.32%
|
11.50 | -24.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Burnley
Shots
13.0
9.4
Shots On Target
4.3
2.2
Corners
6.0
2.9
Fouls
10.2
10.1
Yellow Cards
3.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Burnley
Shots
18.0
7.5
Shots On Target
7.1
2.1
Corners
7.2
3.4
Fouls
8.8
9.4
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
6Draws
2Burnley Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Chelsea Win | 0:2 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Chelsea Win | 1:4 |
| 5 Mar 2022 | Chelsea Win | 0:4 |
| 6 Nov 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 3:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:3 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | West Ham | 0:2 | L |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 1:1 | D |