Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dender wins |
23.16%
±11.53%
|
3.78 | -12.6% |
| Draw |
27.05%
±2.55%
|
3.50 | -5.3% |
| Genk wins |
49.78%
±13.61%
|
1.92 | -4.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dender
Genk
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dender
Genk
Shots
11.2
15.6
Shots On Target
3.8
5.8
Corners
3.6
5.5
Fouls
12.1
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
0.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dender
Genk
Shots
9.3
22.3
Shots On Target
4.3
8.7
Corners
2.7
7.3
Fouls
11.0
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
0.7
Red Cards
0.7
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dender Wins
0Draws
0Genk Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Genk Win | 2:1 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Genk Win | 0:1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Genk Win | 4:0 |
Dender - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Anderlecht | 0:0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Antwerp | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Mechelen | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Standard | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Club Brugge | 1:5 | L |
Genk - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Cercle Brugge | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Waregem | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Club Brugge | 3:5 | L |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Charleroi | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Westerlo | 1:1 | D |