Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
40.57%
±14.44%
|
2.18 | -11.7% |
| Draw |
28.61%
±2.35%
|
3.38 | -3.4% |
| Hull wins |
30.81%
±12.66%
|
3.25 | +0.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Hull
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Hull
Shots
9.1
11.9
Shots On Target
2.8
5.1
Corners
4.3
4.1
Fouls
12.1
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Hull
Shots
11.2
10.6
Shots On Target
3.4
2.4
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.6
5.6
Fouls
11.4
11.4
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
4Draws
1Hull Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 8 Feb 2022 | Derby Win | 3:1 |
| 18 Aug 2021 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
| 18 Jan 2020 | Derby Win | 1:0 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United | 1:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | QPR | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Oxford | 1:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
Hull - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Norwich | 0:2 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Birmingham | 2:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |