Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
32.14%
±13.5%
|
2.68 | -14.0% |
| Draw |
29.63%
±1.58%
|
3.20 | -5.2% |
| Leicester wins |
38.23%
±13.46%
|
2.64 | +0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Leicester
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Leicester
Shots
9.0
12.6
Shots On Target
3.2
3.7
Corners
5.7
5.5
Fouls
12.5
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Watford | 2:3 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Blackburn | 1:2 | W |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Hull | 2:1 | W |
Leicester - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United | 2:3 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Southampton | 3:0 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Stoke | 2:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Norwich | 1:2 | W |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 1:1 | D |