Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
37.75%
±14.37%
|
2.50 | -5.6% |
| Draw |
28.8%
±1.96%
|
3.15 | -9.3% |
| Norwich wins |
33.45%
±13.16%
|
2.84 | -4.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Norwich
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Norwich
Shots
8.0
11.8
Shots On Target
2.5
3.7
Corners
4.2
4.1
Fouls
12.7
9.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Norwich
Shots
10.5
11.0
Shots On Target
3.2
4.2
Corners
5.0
4.8
Fouls
10.8
8.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
1Draws
1Norwich Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Norwich Win | 2:3 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Norwich Win | 0:1 |
| 3 Oct 2020 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Oxford | 1:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Preston | 0:1 | L |
Norwich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bristol City | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Ipswich | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Oct 2025 | West Brom | 0:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stoke | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Wrexham | 2:3 | L |