Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
35.76%
±13.92%
|
2.55 | -8.8% |
| Draw |
29.81%
±1.8%
|
3.28 | -2.4% |
| QPR wins |
34.43%
±13.06%
|
2.70 | -7.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
QPR
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
QPR
Shots
8.5
13.5
Shots On Target
2.6
3.7
Corners
4.4
4.6
Fouls
12.6
10.7
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
QPR
Shots
9.1
12.6
Shots On Target
2.7
4.1
Corners
4.9
6.6
Fouls
10.3
11.6
Yellow Cards
0.9
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
2Draws
0QPR Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2025 | QPR Win | 4:0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Derby Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Apr 2022 | QPR Win | 1:0 |
| 29 Nov 2021 | QPR Win | 1:2 |
| 23 Jan 2021 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Oxford | 1:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
QPR - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | Swansea | 0:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Millwall | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Bristol City | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Oxford | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:1 | D |