Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
41.71%
±14.45%
|
2.28 | -5.1% |
| Draw |
28.99%
±2.6%
|
3.25 | -5.8% |
| Wrexham wins |
29.3%
±12.35%
|
3.13 | -8.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Wrexham
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Wrexham
Shots
10.7
10.7
Shots On Target
3.6
3.1
Corners
5.6
4.7
Fouls
11.3
9.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Wrexham
Shots
5.0
10.0
Shots On Target
3.0
5.0
Corners
3.0
4.0
Fouls
16.0
9.0
Yellow Cards
5.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
0Draws
1Wrexham Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 0:3 | W |
Wrexham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 0:2 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Preston | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 5:3 | W |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Swansea | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Watford | 2:2 | D |