Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dresden wins |
43.81%
±14.84%
|
2.50 | +9.5% |
| Draw |
26.2%
±2.52%
|
3.60 | -5.7% |
| Nurnberg wins |
29.99%
±12.76%
|
2.60 | -22.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dresden
Nurnberg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dresden
Nurnberg
Shots
12.9
13.9
Shots On Target
3.7
5.0
Corners
4.7
5.6
Fouls
11.9
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dresden
Nurnberg
Shots
13.0
14.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.5
Corners
3.0
8.0
Fouls
11.0
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dresden Wins
0Draws
1Nurnberg Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Nurnberg Win | 0:1 |
Dresden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Hertha | 2:0 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Paderborn | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Preußen Münster | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Karlsruhe | 3:3 | D |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Darmstadt | 2:0 | L |
Nurnberg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Braunschweig | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Holstein Kiel | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2:3 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Hertha | 0:3 | L |