Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton wins |
30.42%
±12.95%
|
2.84 | -13.6% |
| Draw |
31.97%
±1.67%
|
3.35 | +7.1% |
| Elgin wins |
37.61%
±13.08%
|
2.15 | -19.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dumbarton
Elgin
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dumbarton
Elgin
Shots
7.9
13.6
Shots On Target
2.9
5.3
Corners
6.3
5.8
Fouls
11.4
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dumbarton
Elgin
Shots
7.9
10.1
Shots On Target
3.3
4.1
Corners
3.8
3.8
Fouls
12.4
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dumbarton Wins
4Draws
2Elgin Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Elgin Win | 2:0 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Dumbarton Win | 0:1 |
| 18 Nov 2023 | Dumbarton Win | 1:0 |
Dumbarton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Spartans | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Stirling | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Stranraer | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | East Kilbride | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Edinburgh City | 4:3 | L |
Elgin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Forfar | 4:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Spartans | 1:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Stranraer | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Clyde | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Stirling | 1:1 | D |