Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
51.43%
±14.91%
|
1.96 | +0.5% |
| Draw |
27.39%
±4.33%
|
3.55 | -2.8% |
| Arouca wins |
21.18%
±10.82%
|
3.60 | -23.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estoril
Arouca
Shots
13.1
9.3
Shots On Target
4.0
2.8
Corners
3.8
3.8
Fouls
13.3
15.0
Yellow Cards
3.2
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Arouca
Shots
12.0
13.4
Shots On Target
4.6
4.5
Corners
4.8
4.2
Fouls
16.0
15.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
3Draws
1Arouca Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Estoril Win | 4:1 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Arouca Win | 1:2 |
| 13 Aug 2023 | Arouca Win | 4:3 |
| 15 May 2023 | Estoril Win | 2:0 |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:4 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Nacional | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Casa Pia | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Moreirense | 0:2 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 5:0 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Porto | 0:4 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Nacional | 1:2 | W |