Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
44.72%
±15.39%
|
2.18 | -2.7% |
| Draw |
28.62%
±3.26%
|
3.33 | -4.8% |
| Nacional wins |
26.66%
±12.52%
|
3.20 | -14.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estoril
Nacional
Shots
11.8
11.2
Shots On Target
3.8
4.0
Corners
3.2
4.9
Fouls
13.2
15.2
Yellow Cards
3.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Nacional
Shots
9.0
16.5
Shots On Target
3.5
4.5
Corners
3.0
5.5
Fouls
18.0
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
1Draws
1Nacional Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Estoril Win | 1:0 |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | Casa Pia | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | AVS | 3:1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | L |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 3:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Arouca | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Porto | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | W |