Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
49.86%
±14.74%
|
1.67 | -16.7% |
| Draw |
27.37%
±3.91%
|
3.90 | +6.7% |
| Tondela wins |
22.77%
±11.12%
|
4.68 | +6.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Tondela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estoril
Tondela
Shots
11.8
9.2
Shots On Target
5.1
2.5
Corners
5.2
3.5
Fouls
12.5
15.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Tondela
Shots
15.7
14.0
Shots On Target
5.7
4.0
Corners
3.3
3.7
Fouls
18.7
13.3
Yellow Cards
4.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
2Draws
1Tondela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Estoril Win | 1:0 |
| 13 Sep 2021 | Estoril Win | 1:2 |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:4 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 4:2 | W |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 0:5 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 4:1 | W |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Benfica | 0:0 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 3:0 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |