Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela wins |
38.58%
±14.69%
|
2.56 | -1.2% |
| Draw |
29.01%
±2.15%
|
3.20 | -7.2% |
| Rio Ave wins |
32.41%
±13.24%
|
2.70 | -12.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Rio Ave
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estrela
Rio Ave
Shots
11.2
10.6
Shots On Target
3.5
4.6
Corners
4.1
3.5
Fouls
13.5
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Rio Ave
Shots
10.3
12.7
Shots On Target
3.0
4.3
Corners
5.0
4.7
Fouls
14.0
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
1Draws
2Rio Ave Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 May 2025 | Rio Ave Win | 2:0 |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Estrela Win | 1:0 |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 2 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | AVS | 3:0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Tondela | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:2 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Tondela | 3:0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Benfica | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Porto | 0:3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 3:1 | L |