Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela wins |
12.8%
±7.57%
|
6.38 | -18.4% |
| Draw |
26.5%
±4.54%
|
4.33 | +14.8% |
| Sp Braga wins |
60.7%
±11.91%
|
1.47 | -10.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Sp Braga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estrela
Sp Braga
Shots
12.2
12.4
Shots On Target
4.3
4.4
Corners
3.4
4.9
Fouls
14.7
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Sp Braga
Shots
9.2
14.5
Shots On Target
4.2
6.8
Corners
4.2
8.2
Fouls
13.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
0Draws
1Sp Braga Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 0:1 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 3:0 |
| 28 Sep 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 2:4 |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Porto | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 0:4 | W |