Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins |
58.3%
±14.13%
|
1.57 | -8.5% |
| Draw |
24.55%
±4.89%
|
4.05 | -0.6% |
| Burnley wins |
17.14%
±9.42%
|
5.88 | +0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Everton
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Everton
Burnley
Shots
11.7
9.8
Shots On Target
3.9
2.8
Corners
4.3
2.9
Fouls
11.2
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Everton
Burnley
Shots
13.3
11.7
Shots On Target
5.0
3.0
Corners
5.0
6.6
Fouls
9.1
8.4
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Everton Wins
3Draws
2Burnley Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Everton Win | 1:0 |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Everton Win | 0:2 |
| 6 Apr 2022 | Burnley Win | 3:2 |
| 13 Sep 2021 | Everton Win | 3:1 |
Everton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:3 | W |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Man United | 0:1 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Fulham | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 1:1 | D |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 3:4 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:3 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | West Ham | 0:2 | L |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | L |