Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior wins |
38%
±14.48%
|
2.33 | -11.7% |
| Draw |
27.18%
±1.85%
|
3.55 | -3.5% |
| NAC Breda wins |
34.82%
±13.45%
|
2.89 | +0.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Shots
13.0
13.3
Shots On Target
4.4
4.3
Corners
4.4
5.0
Fouls
13.2
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | W |
NAC Breda - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Volendam | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Heerenveen | 3:3 | D |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |