Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior wins |
50.64%
±15.33%
|
2.15 | +8.9% |
| Draw |
24.27%
±3.42%
|
3.68 | -10.8% |
| Zwolle wins |
25.09%
±12.19%
|
3.15 | -21.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Excelsior
Zwolle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Excelsior
Zwolle
Shots
12.7
8.8
Shots On Target
4.5
3.2
Corners
4.2
2.8
Fouls
14.0
11.3
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Excelsior
Zwolle
Shots
13.0
18.0
Shots On Target
5.0
8.5
Corners
3.5
6.5
Fouls
9.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Excelsior Wins
0Draws
0Zwolle Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2024 | Zwolle Win | 2:1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Zwolle Win | 2:4 |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | Groningen | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
Zwolle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 6:1 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Groningen | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1:0 | W |