Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter wins |
39.34%
±14.39%
|
2.40 | -5.6% |
| Draw |
28.89%
±2.2%
|
3.30 | -4.7% |
| Burton wins |
31.77%
±12.84%
|
2.75 | -12.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Exeter
Burton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Exeter
Burton
Shots
12.4
10.8
Shots On Target
3.9
3.4
Corners
4.5
6.4
Fouls
13.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Exeter
Burton
Shots
12.3
10.8
Shots On Target
2.8
3.0
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
4.0
3.8
Fouls
12.0
12.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Exeter Wins
3Draws
1Burton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Exeter Win | 1:2 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Exeter Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Exeter Win | 0:1 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Burton Win | 1:0 |
Exeter - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Bolton | 1:5 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Peterboro | 3:3 | D |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Wycombe | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Northampton | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Mansfield | 0:0 | D |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Wycombe | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Stockport | 3:0 | W |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Luton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Port Vale | 2:2 | D |