Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter wins |
22.16%
±11.14%
|
3.45 | -23.5% |
| Draw |
29.86%
±2.76%
|
3.50 | +4.5% |
| Luton wins |
47.98%
±13.44%
|
2.01 | -3.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Exeter
Luton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Exeter
Luton
Shots
10.8
11.3
Shots On Target
3.6
3.8
Corners
4.8
5.8
Fouls
11.3
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Exeter - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Cardiff | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 9 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 1:0 | W |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Leyton Orient | 3:0 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Wycombe | 4:0 | W |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Reading | 3:2 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Port Vale | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1:1 | D |