Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins |
60.82%
±13.41%
|
1.63 | -0.9% |
| Draw |
25%
±5.48%
|
3.68 | -8.1% |
| Casa Pia wins |
14.18%
±8.09%
|
5.25 | -25.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Shots
10.4
8.1
Shots On Target
3.9
3.0
Corners
3.6
2.9
Fouls
14.6
16.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
3.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Shots
13.7
10.3
Shots On Target
5.0
3.3
Corners
3.8
5.7
Fouls
13.3
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Famalicao Wins
3Draws
2Casa Pia Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 May 2025 | Famalicao Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 May 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 1:2 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Famalicao Win | 0:2 |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:0 | L |
| 9 Feb 2026 | AVS | 3:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 5:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Arouca | 3:2 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 0:0 | D |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Porto | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | AVS | 3:3 | D |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 3:0 | L |