Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins |
58.56%
±13.68%
|
1.58 | -7.5% |
| Draw |
25.67%
±5.17%
|
3.80 | -2.5% |
| Tondela wins |
15.77%
±8.68%
|
5.63 | -11.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Famalicao
Tondela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Famalicao
Tondela
Shots
13.5
10.2
Shots On Target
5.0
2.9
Corners
4.5
3.5
Fouls
18.3
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Famalicao
Tondela
Shots
13.0
11.2
Shots On Target
4.8
3.0
Corners
6.0
5.0
Fouls
15.2
15.2
Yellow Cards
4.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Famalicao Wins
3Draws
1Tondela Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Famalicao Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Famalicao Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Tondela Win | 3:2 |
| 26 Apr 2021 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Jan 2021 | Tondela Win | 1:0 |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 2:3 | L |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:0 | W |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:2 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 3:1 | L |