Fiorentina vs Lecce
Final Result
0:1
Lecce to win
Our Prediction
Missed
58.4%
Fiorentina to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins |
58.41%
±13.73%
|
1.63 | -5.1% |
| Draw |
24.98%
±4.94%
|
3.80 | -5.1% |
| Lecce wins |
16.61%
±8.98%
|
5.63 | -6.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Fiorentina
Lecce
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Fiorentina
Lecce
Shots
11.8
9.7
Shots On Target
2.7
2.7
Corners
4.1
5.2
Fouls
14.7
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Fiorentina
Lecce
Shots
12.6
8.4
Shots On Target
5.1
3.1
Corners
4.0
2.6
Fouls
12.6
13.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Fiorentina Wins
4Draws
2Lecce Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | Fiorentina Win | 1:0 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Fiorentina Win | 0:6 |
| 2 Feb 2024 | Lecce Win | 3:2 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Fiorentina Win | 1:0 |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Inter | 3:0 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Bologna | 2:2 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Milan | 2:1 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Roma | 1:2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Pisa | 0:0 | D |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Napoli | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Udinese | 3:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Sassuolo | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Parma | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Bologna | 2:2 | D |