Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk wins |
60.7%
±13.52%
|
1.54 | -6.5% |
| Draw |
23.15%
±4.79%
|
4.12 | -4.7% |
| Mechelen wins |
16.15%
±8.89%
|
5.38 | -13.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Genk
Mechelen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Genk
Mechelen
Shots
15.4
11.9
Shots On Target
5.1
4.3
Corners
5.7
5.3
Fouls
9.7
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Genk
Mechelen
Shots
14.3
11.1
Shots On Target
5.4
3.5
Corners
5.1
4.5
Fouls
8.2
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Genk Wins
6Draws
4Mechelen Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Genk Win | 1:2 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Genk Win | 2:1 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Genk Win | 4:0 |
| 17 Feb 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Genk - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Gent | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Westerlo | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | RAAL La Louviere | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Cercle Brugge | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Dender | 2:1 | W |
Mechelen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | St. Gilloise | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Anderlecht | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Dender | 1:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | St Truiden | 1:3 | L |