Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
56.6%
±14.33%
|
1.49 | -15.8% |
| Draw |
26.73%
±5.3%
|
4.00 | +6.9% |
| Casa Pia wins Top Bet |
16.66%
±9.22%
|
6.36 | +5.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Shots
14.4
9.8
Shots On Target
3.6
2.7
Corners
4.1
4.7
Fouls
13.5
15.2
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Shots
16.0
9.1
Shots On Target
3.4
3.0
Corners
6.9
3.6
Fouls
11.2
16.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
1Draws
4Casa Pia Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 0:2 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Sp Braga | 1:0 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Nacional | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 3:2 | L |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Arouca | 0:1 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional | 2:0 | L |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | 0:1 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Benfica | 0:7 | L |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | 1:0 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |