Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
58.13%
±13.84%
|
1.66 | -3.5% |
| Draw |
25.28%
±4.98%
|
3.50 | -11.5% |
| Estrela wins |
16.59%
±9.04%
|
5.25 | -12.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Estrela
Shots
13.7
9.2
Shots On Target
3.6
3.3
Corners
4.7
2.5
Fouls
16.5
15.8
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Estrela
Shots
11.8
7.2
Shots On Target
4.4
0.8
Corners
6.4
3.2
Fouls
14.8
13.4
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
4Draws
1Estrela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 0:2 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 2:0 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 3:0 |
| 13 Aug 2023 | Guimaraes Win | 0:1 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Arouca | 3:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 4:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 4:0 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 0:5 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:3 | D |