Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
53.19%
±14.56%
|
1.84 | -2.1% |
| Draw |
26.81%
±4.45%
|
3.35 | -10.2% |
| Nacional wins |
19.99%
±10.34%
|
4.30 | -14.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Nacional
Shots
13.4
12.9
Shots On Target
3.5
4.4
Corners
5.0
3.1
Fouls
14.4
12.5
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Nacional
Shots
10.7
9.3
Shots On Target
2.7
4.3
Corners
4.7
3.3
Fouls
18.7
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
2Draws
1Nacional Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 1:2 |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 26 Apr 2021 | Nacional Win | 1:0 |
| 21 Jan 2021 | Guimaraes Win | 3:1 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Nov 2025 | AVS | 4:0 | W |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |