Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
47.85%
±14.6%
|
1.69 | -19.1% |
| Draw |
28.78%
±3.83%
|
3.68 | +5.8% |
| Nacional wins Top Bet |
23.37%
±11.1%
|
4.70 | +9.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Nacional
Shots
14.1
13.1
Shots On Target
3.6
4.3
Corners
4.6
5.0
Fouls
12.8
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Nacional
Shots
10.8
9.4
Shots On Target
3.2
4.0
Corners
4.4
3.0
Fouls
17.8
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
3Draws
1Nacional Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional Win | 2:0 |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes Win | 2:1 |
| 3 May 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 1:2 |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 26 Apr 2021 | Nacional Win | 1:0 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 3:2 | L |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Arouca | 0:1 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional | 2:0 | L |
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:1 | L |
| 4 May 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 5:1 | L |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Estoril | 2:0 | W |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:2 | D |
| 16 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:0 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:0 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | AVS | 1:2 | L |