Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
10.47%
±6.77%
|
7.00 | -26.7% |
| Draw |
26.05%
±5.14%
|
4.15 | +8.1% |
| Porto wins |
63.48%
±11.75%
|
1.46 | -7.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Porto
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Porto
Shots
12.4
13.5
Shots On Target
3.6
5.2
Corners
4.7
4.4
Fouls
14.7
13.6
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Porto
Shots
7.5
14.0
Shots On Target
2.2
5.3
Corners
4.1
5.9
Fouls
14.5
15.5
Yellow Cards
4.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
1Draws
1Porto Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2025 | Porto Win | 3:0 |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Porto Win | 0:3 |
| 7 Apr 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:2 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Porto Win | 1:2 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:0 | D |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | AVS | 2:0 | W |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 0:3 | W |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 0:2 | W |