Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
4.8%
±3.4%
|
7.00 | -66.4% |
| Draw |
19.62%
±5.19%
|
4.50 | -11.7% |
| Sp Lisbon wins |
75.58%
±8.51%
|
1.40 | +6.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Sp Lisbon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Sp Lisbon
Shots
12.9
18.1
Shots On Target
3.7
7.5
Corners
5.0
6.6
Fouls
13.7
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Sp Lisbon
Shots
9.4
13.0
Shots On Target
2.2
4.9
Corners
4.0
4.9
Fouls
13.7
13.1
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
1Draws
1Sp Lisbon Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 |
| 3 Jan 2025 | Draw | 4:4 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 3:0 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Guimaraes Win | 3:2 |
| 24 Apr 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:2 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Nov 2025 | AVS | 4:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Tondela | 0:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 0:3 | L |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | AVS | 6:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 4:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Alverca | 2:0 | W |