Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins |
14.81%
±8.48%
|
4.33 | -35.9% |
| Draw |
25.62%
±4.03%
|
4.27 | +9.3% |
| Dortmund wins |
59.57%
±12.29%
|
1.69 | +0.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
Dortmund
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamburg
Dortmund
Shots
14.1
12.6
Shots On Target
4.9
4.8
Corners
3.9
6.0
Fouls
13.4
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | FC Koln | 4:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Wolfsburg | 0:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | RB Leipzig | 2:1 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Mainz | 4:0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Union Berlin | 0:0 | D |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | Augsburg | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | FC Koln | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | RB Leipzig | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mainz | 0:2 | W |