Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton wins |
41.46%
±13.99%
|
2.35 | -2.6% |
| Draw |
33.65%
±3.46%
|
3.20 | +7.7% |
| Alloa wins |
24.89%
±10.98%
|
2.63 | -34.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamilton
Alloa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamilton
Alloa
Shots
9.1
9.6
Shots On Target
5.2
5.3
Corners
2.9
4.6
Fouls
10.7
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamilton
Alloa
Shots
11.8
9.2
Shots On Target
5.4
4.2
Corners
6.2
5.0
Fouls
8.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
0.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamilton Wins
2Draws
1Alloa Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Alloa Win | 1:0 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Hamilton Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Alloa Win | 1:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Hamilton Win | 2:1 |
Hamilton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Inverness C | 4:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Stenhousemuir | 0:0 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Kelty Hearts | 3:1 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Cove Rangers | 2:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Peterhead | 3:0 | W |
Alloa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Queen of Sth | 0:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Peterhead | 4:0 | W |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Inverness C | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Cove Rangers | 0:0 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Montrose | 0:4 | W |