Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton wins |
35.95%
±13.74%
|
1.65 | -40.9% |
| Draw |
34.51%
±2.41%
|
3.50 | +20.8% |
| Alloa wins Top Bet |
29.54%
±12.06%
|
4.63 | +36.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamilton
Alloa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamilton
Alloa
Shots
9.4
10.1
Shots On Target
4.9
4.5
Corners
5.7
5.0
Fouls
11.5
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamilton
Alloa
Shots
10.6
10.9
Shots On Target
4.2
5.1
Corners
5.9
4.9
Fouls
10.0
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamilton Wins
4Draws
1Alloa Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Hamilton Win | 1:0 |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Alloa Win | 3:0 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamilton Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Alloa Win | 1:0 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Hamilton Win | 0:1 |
Hamilton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | Montrose | 0:5 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Inverness C | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Peterhead | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Montrose | 0:2 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Alloa | 1:0 | W |
Alloa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | East Fife | 0:0 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Queen of Sth | 1:4 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | East Fife | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Hamilton | 1:0 | L |