Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate wins |
36.19%
±14.35%
|
1.75 | -36.7% |
| Draw |
32.14%
±2.22%
|
3.75 | +20.5% |
| Tamworth wins Top Bet |
31.68%
±12.96%
|
3.70 | +17.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Harrogate
Tamworth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Harrogate
Tamworth
Shots
11.8
13.0
Shots On Target
5.6
6.5
Corners
4.5
5.0
Fouls
13.3
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Harrogate - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Scunthorpe | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Gateshead | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Aldershot | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Barrow | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Wealdstone | 1:3 | W |
Tamworth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Boston Utd | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Yeovil | 3:2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Worthing | 3:2 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Halifax | 4:1 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Fylde | 1:2 | L |