Hartlepool vs Carlisle
Final Result
3:1
Hartlepool to win
Our Prediction
Missed
38.6%
Carlisle to win
±12.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool wins |
22.97%
±11.03%
|
3.00 | -31.1% |
| Draw |
38.39%
±2.42%
|
3.35 | +28.6% |
| Carlisle wins |
38.64%
±12.62%
|
2.10 | -18.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Shots
0.0
N/A
Shots On Target
0.0
N/A
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
N/A
Corners
0.0
N/A
Fouls
0.0
N/A
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
N/A
Offsides
0.0
N/A
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Shots
9.8
12.2
Shots On Target
2.5
6.0
Corners
2.8
4.5
Fouls
10.0
10.5
Yellow Cards
0.6
0.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hartlepool Wins
1Draws
1Carlisle Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 |
| 8 Oct 2022 | Carlisle Win | 1:3 |
| 18 Jan 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Hartlepool Win | 2:1 |
Hartlepool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Solihull | 3:4 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Wealdstone | - | - |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Sutton | - | - |
| 11 Feb 2026 | York | 3:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Tamworth | 1:1 | D |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Yeovil | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Forest Green | 1:3 | W |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Scunthorpe | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rochdale | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Altrincham | 3:1 | W |